9/5/2026: A revised version of Flexible Retirement and Optimal Taxation is posted
8/13/2026: Recognized in The Africa Report's list of 26 Africans making waves in 2026
7/15/2026: A revised version of Property Taxes and Housing Allocation Under Financial Constraints is posted
7/15/2026: A draft of Tax Productivity and Development: A Quantitative Macroeconomic Analysis is posted
7/7/2026: A revised version of Blockchain Fee Policies: Quantity- vs Price-Control Design across Protocols is posted
6/11/2026: A revised version of A Theory of International Boycotts is posted
5/15/2026: Awarded the 2026 NextGen Best African Economist Under 40 Award by the African Development Bank, Africa Report, and Jeune Afrique, and elected Fellow of the Royal Economic Society
Revised and Resubmitted at Quarterly Journal of Economics
Abdoulaye Ndiaye and Zhixiu Yu
Coverage: Chicago Fed letter
Revised and Resubmitted at American Economic Review
Joshua Coven, Sebastian Golder, Arpit Gupta, and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
2026 Yuki Arai Research Prize
Coverage: Bloomberg, Minneapolis Fed, Homes.com, CoStar News, Arpitrage, The Roundup, NYU Stern Research Highlights, Slate, TaxProf Blog
Revised and Resubmitted at Management Science
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Coverage: a16z Crypto Research
Revised and Resubmitted at Journal of International Economics
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Coverage: NPR Marketplace, La Tribune
Forthcoming at American Economic Review: Insights, Vol. 8, No. 4, December 2026
Meghana Gaur, John Grigsby, Jonathon Hazell, and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Coverage: Marginal Revolution, NYU Stern Research Highlights, Atlanta Fed
Journal of Monetary Economics, volume 150, March 2025, 103699
Abdoulaye Ndiaye, Kyle Herkenhoff, Abdoulaye Cisse, Alessandro Dell'Acqua, and Ahmadou A. Mbaye
Coverage: VoxDev, Brookings Africa Growth Initiative, World Bank
Journal of Political Economy Macroeconomics, vol. 1, num. 2, pp. 371-402, June 2023
Pawel Doligalski, Abdoulaye Ndiaye, and Nicolas Werquin
Coverage: Minneapolis Fed OIGI
Forthcoming at Oxford Review of Economic Policy
Louphou Coulibaly and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
ACM FC 2025: Proceedings of the International Conference on Financial Cryptography and Data Security, February 2026, pp 245–262
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Coverage: a16z Crypto Research
ACM FC 2024: Proceedings of the International Conference on Financial Cryptography and Data Security, February 2025, pp 303–313
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Radhika Goyal, Andres Jensen, David Lagakos, Abdoulaye Ndiaye, and Yuntian Zhao
Olalekan Bello, Claudia Macaluso, and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Bocar A. Ba, Abdoulaye Ndiaye, Roman G. Rivera, and Alexander Whitefield
Selected Ongoing Research
Disrupting State Legitimacy: Evidence from 50,000 Colonial Documents (draft available upon request)
Augustin Bergeron and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Abstract: Does state legitimacy shape citizens’ resistance to state demands? We study this question in colonial Nigeria, where British rule imposed a common fiscal regime across areas with sharply different pre-colonial sources of fiscal legitimacy. In the Sokoto Caliphate, taxation had been embedded in a long-standing Islamic fiscal order and colonial rule displaced this institutional basis for taxation by secularizing or banning islamic taxes. We assemble and analyze nearly 50,000 tax-related documents from Nigeria’s colonial archives, using large language models to measure tax attitudes and formal complaints. Exploiting the historical boundary of the Sokoto Caliphate in a spatial regression discontinuity design, we find substantially more negative tax sentiment and more formal complaints in areas where colonial taxation displaced the pre-colonial fiscal order. Several findings point to legitimacy as the mechanism: resistance is stronger with greater exposure to Sokoto institutions, complaints are disproportionately associated with Muslim names and with taxes previously contested on Islamic grounds, and the results are not explained by differences in tax policy, enforcement, administration, public goods, or demographics. The legitimacy gap remains detectable in contemporary attitudes toward the state’s right to tax. Our findings identify legitimacy as a distinct constraint on the state’s ability to implement policy.
Redistribution through Firms; The Impact of Oil Transportation Subsidies (presentation slides available upon request)
Data collection completed. Location: Ghana
Francis Annan and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Public Good Provision and Local Revenue Mobilization
In the field. DigiFi grant. Location: Kanifing, The Gambia
Hamidou Jawara, Justine Knebelmann, Joseph Levine, Abdoulaye Ndiaye, and Victor Pouliquen
Ebehi Iyoha and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Credit and Conflict in Nigeria
Olalekan Bello, Simone Lenzu, Toni Oki, and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Breaking Barriers: How Policies, Norms, and Preferences Shape Women's Labor Force Participation
Abdoulaye Ndiaye and Zhixiu Yu